Prediction Market News
The latest breaking news, analysis, and insights from the world of prediction markets.
How to Read the Orderbook: A Beginner’s Guide to Prediction Markets
There are a few things you need to know in order to read prediction markets like a pro. There is no complicated jargon or finance degree required to get through…
How to Size a Prediction Market Trade
You know how to read the orderbook. You know what the odds mean. You’ve maybe even placed a trade or two. But here’s the question that many beginners ask: How…
Kalshi Launches Midterms Hub As Prediction Markets Keep Growing
Some people start the morning with a weather app. Others reach straight for the group chat. A growing number of Americans now start the day a third way: pulling up…
Prediction Markets Face Congress on Sports Event Contracts
Spain had barely finished celebrating its World Cup title at MetLife Stadium when a very different contest kicked off in a House hearing room in Washington D.C. No trophy, no…
Wildfire Prediction Markets and the Hazards of Disaster Betting
When destructive blazes swept across Southern California, burning through thousands of structures and claiming lives, a parallel financial debate opened up on prediction markets like Polymarket. Traders were predicting how…
Inside Kalshi’s Record World Cup Run: 3 Million New Users, $12 Billion Traded
Spain‘s players were still celebrating on the pitch at MetLife Stadium on Sunday night when Kalshi‘s marketing team had already moved on to counting a different kind of scoreline: 3…
Can Pascal Take On Prediction Market Giants Kalshi and Polymarket?
This week’s World Cup finals feature no underdogs. Argentina and Spain, two of the four best-ranked teams on the planet, are close to the ultimate trophy. But in the industry,…
Nevada Regulator Warns Prediction Markets Could Lead to Online Casinos in Every State
Picture a small town that has never allowed a casino, not one slot machine within its limits. Now picture a storefront a few doors from the town’s only church, lit…
Kalshi Pro Desktop Terminal Launches as Prediction Markets Evolve
With the official launch of Kalshi Pro, a high-performance desktop trading terminal built specifically for its most active traders, Kalshi aims to completely transform the prediction markets landscape. This brand-new…
North Carolina Just Made History With Its New Prediction Markets Law
North Carolina Governor Josh Stein, on Tuesday, signed the state’s $34 billion budget into law, telling reporters, “After careful deliberation, this morning I will sign the state budget into law.”…
Taxes Against Prediction Markets: New Jersey to Push Legislation
Prediction markets are blooming as the 2026 FIFA World Cup and fluid political cycles push trading volume to unprecedented heights. Meanwhile, state governments are scrambling to extract their piece of…
Polymarket’s $571M Secret: How US Volume Defies Geoblocks
In 1920, the United States banned alcohol nationwide. The thirst didn’t disappear; it just moved behind unmarked doors and a password. A century later, a similar experiment is playing out…
Kalshi’s Clever Marketing Strategy Scores with World Cup Ads
Scan the stadium boards during this week’s World Cup knockout matches, tucked between Adidas and Coca-Cola, and you’ll spot a name most casual fans don’t immediately place: Kalshi. The exchange…
DraftKings Launches Proprietary Prediction Markets Exchange
Sports betting giant DraftKings has fully entered the world of prediction markets with the official launch of its proprietary exchange, called DKeX. Their ultimate goal is to challenge the absolute…
Senators Demand Probe Into Polymarket After Fake Ads Scandal
A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers is now pushing for a federal investigation into Polymarket, following new reporting that exposed misleading promotional tactics tied to the platform. U.S. Senators John…
Google Will Develop $75 Million AI-powered Filmmaking Tool
Google has invested approximately $75 million into the independent film studio A24, solidifying a multi-year, non-exclusive research partnership with its prominent AI unit, Google DeepMind. This marks the first time…
Polymarket to Refund $3 Million After Cyber Attack
Decentralized prediction market giant Polymarket has confirmed that a supply chain attack targeting a third-party vendor resulted in a brief frontend compromise. According to updates published by blockchain intelligence firms…
Polymarket World Cup: Shocking 60% of Traders Are First-Time Crypto Users
It’s June, and the soccer World Cup is playing on TV. But it’s 1970. Families leaning in close to bulky, wooden television sets, adjusting blurry dials. Suddenly, the screens burst…
ProphetX Makes Journey From Sportsbook To Sweeps To Prediction Markets
Almost exactly eight years ago, on June 14, 2018, sportsbooks in New Jersey took their first wagers, in the wake of the Supreme Court overturning PASPA. The evolution since then…
Meta’s Arena: Here’s What We Know About the New A.I.-Driven Prediction Market App
Picture the scene that opened The Social Network: a Harvard sophomore in a hoodie, hunched over a laptop at two in the morning, building something nobody asked for because he…