Prediction Market News
The latest breaking news, analysis, and insights from the world of prediction markets.
How Prediction Markets Let You Track Whale Trades
Blockchain-based prediction markets have introduced a new level of transparency to online trading. On platforms that settle trades on a public blockchain, users can review transaction activity tied to a…
Same Event, Different Price: Prediction Markets vs. Sportsbooks
The main point of contention in the debate between prediction markets and sportsbooks is that prediction markets are just another form of sports betting, and therefore aren’t operating legally in…
Prediction Market Contract Expiration and Early Exit Rules
If you’re ready and waiting to execute your first prediction market trade, congratulations! However, it’s important that you understand a contract’s expiration date before committing. Similarly, you’ll need to comprehend…
Prediction Market Maker and Taker Fees Explained
Maker/taker fees are a common trading-fee structure used by traditional exchanges, crypto exchanges, and order-book-based prediction markets. The model distinguishes between traders who add liquidity to a market and traders…
How to Manage Your Bankroll
If you’ve ever engaged in sports betting, you know the importance of bankroll management — utilizing a selection of rules to help maximize your returns, minimize risk, and set optimal…
Prediction Markets Don’t Have Juice: Here’s Why
If you’ve made sports bets with any frequency, then you’re familiar with juice. Ostensibly, that’s the cut a sportsbook takes on each accepted bet. Prediction markets don’t have such a…
What is Implied Probability?
In prediction markets, implied probability refers to the likelihood of a particular outcome occurring. This value can be inferred from the outcome’s “Yes” or “No” contract price, enabling you to…
How to Read the Orderbook: A Beginner’s Guide to Prediction Markets
There are a few things you need to know in order to read prediction markets like a pro. There is no complicated jargon or finance degree required to get through…
How to Size a Prediction Market Trade
You know how to read the orderbook. You know what the odds mean. You’ve maybe even placed a trade or two. But here’s the question that many beginners ask: How…
Kalshi Launches Midterms Hub As Prediction Markets Keep Growing
Some people start the morning with a weather app. Others reach straight for the group chat. A growing number of Americans now start the day a third way: pulling up…
Prediction Markets Face Congress on Sports Event Contracts
Spain had barely finished celebrating its World Cup title at MetLife Stadium when a very different contest kicked off in a House hearing room in Washington D.C. No trophy, no…
Wildfire Prediction Markets and the Hazards of Disaster Betting
When destructive blazes swept across Southern California, burning through thousands of structures and claiming lives, a parallel financial debate opened up on prediction markets like Polymarket. Traders were predicting how…
Inside Kalshi’s Record World Cup Run: 3 Million New Users, $12 Billion Traded
Spain‘s players were still celebrating on the pitch at MetLife Stadium on Sunday night when Kalshi‘s marketing team had already moved on to counting a different kind of scoreline: 3…
Can Pascal Take On Prediction Market Giants Kalshi and Polymarket?
This week’s World Cup finals feature no underdogs. Argentina and Spain, two of the four best-ranked teams on the planet, are close to the ultimate trophy. But in the industry,…
Nevada Regulator Warns Prediction Markets Could Lead to Online Casinos in Every State
Picture a small town that has never allowed a casino, not one slot machine within its limits. Now picture a storefront a few doors from the town’s only church, lit…
Kalshi Pro Desktop Terminal Launches as Prediction Markets Evolve
With the official launch of Kalshi Pro, a high-performance desktop trading terminal built specifically for its most active traders, Kalshi aims to completely transform the prediction markets landscape. This brand-new…
North Carolina Just Made History With Its New Prediction Markets Law
North Carolina Governor Josh Stein, on Tuesday, signed the state’s $34 billion budget into law, telling reporters, “After careful deliberation, this morning I will sign the state budget into law.”…
Taxes Against Prediction Markets: New Jersey to Push Legislation
Prediction markets are blooming as the 2026 FIFA World Cup and fluid political cycles push trading volume to unprecedented heights. Meanwhile, state governments are scrambling to extract their piece of…
Polymarket’s $571M Secret: How US Volume Defies Geoblocks
In 1920, the United States banned alcohol nationwide. The thirst didn’t disappear; it just moved behind unmarked doors and a password. A century later, a similar experiment is playing out…
Kalshi’s Clever Marketing Strategy Scores with World Cup Ads
Scan the stadium boards during this week’s World Cup knockout matches, tucked between Adidas and Coca-Cola, and you’ll spot a name most casual fans don’t immediately place: Kalshi. The exchange…