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NHL, CFTC Ink Prediction Market Oversight Deal

Written by Camil Straschnoy Last updated: May 21, 2026 Published: May 21, 2026
https://predictionpro.com/uncategorized/auto-draft Pictured: View of an NHL logo on a jersey worn by a linesman.

As the hockey world turns its attention to the Conference Finals, the league is making a significant power play off the ice. The National Hockey League (NHL) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) have officially signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) to oversee the rapidly growing sector of sports prediction markets.

This agreement creates a formal framework for data sharing and regulatory cooperation. According to the parties, it aims to “protect the integrity” of professional hockey as “event contracts” become a staple of the financial and sports landscape.

Following in the footsteps of Major League Baseball (MLB), the NHL is the second major league to align with federal regulators. This move ensures that as platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket expand, the league’s data remains shielded from manipulation and insider trading.

What the CFTC-NHL agreement means

The primary goal of this partnership is to establish “rules of the road” for the intersection of professional sports and derivatives trading.

By formalizing this relationship, the CFTC and NHL can now legally exchange sensitive information to identify suspicious trading patterns or the misuse of non-public league data.

For fans and traders, this means a more transparent marketplace. The MOU focuses on the “integrity of professional hockey and the event contracts related thereto,” ensuring that the outcomes of games — and the financial instruments tied to them — are free from external interference or fraudulent activity.

Federal Oversight vs. State Bans

The NHL’s decision to partner with the CFTC is a strategic move toward federal stability. While several states have attempted to ban prediction markets by labeling them as unregulated gambling, the NHL is opting for the CFTC’s oversight as a derivatives regulator.

This alignment supports the CFTC’s stance that it holds exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts. By working with a federal agency, the NHL avoids the “patchwork” of conflicting state laws, providing a unified regulatory front that legitimizes sports-based financial products on a national level.

A Growing Trend Among Major Leagues

The NHL is not alone in its pursuit of strict oversight. Earlier this year, the NBA demanded strict CFTC oversight of sports prediction markets, signaling that the league is wary of the risks associated with unregulated “picks” apps and injury-based contracts.

In line with this trend, the NFL is eyeing a ban on certain contracts in prediction markets, specifically those based on negative outcomes, like injuries.

This shift suggests that leagues view these markets as a core component of the sports economy, one that requires federal protection.

“Strengthens Our Ability To Address Potential Risks”

By securing this MOU, the NHL ensures it has a seat at the table when new event contracts are designed. This includes the ability to consult on which specific on-ice events are appropriate for trading and which should be restricted to prevent “spot” manipulation.

CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig stated that the agreement “furthers the CFTC’s mission to protect the integrity of the derivatives markets.”

“Integrity has always been and remains paramount to the NHL and fundamental to the trust our fans and partners place in our game,” said NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman. “Our agreement with the CFTC enhances the comprehensive integrity monitoring systems already in place and strengthens our ability to identify, deter, and address potential risks”.