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AI Could Outforecast Humans by 2027, Metaculus Data Shows

New analysis shows AI forecasting models rapidly closing the gap with human superforecasters.

Written by spetrella Last updated: February 20, 2026 Published: February 20, 2026

New data from Metaculus shows that AI forecasting models are rapidly closing the gap with human superforecasters. Some models are already outperforming the median human predictor on certain question types.