Could Donald Trump Be Impeached Again?
On December 18, 2019, the House of Representatives impeached Donald Trump on charges related to his interactions with Ukraine. Those charges included abuse of power and obstruction of Congress, though the Senate acquitted him of both charges on February 5, 2020.
Fast forward to April 2026, and the United States is in a conflict with Iran, which many are blaming on President Trump.
As the Iran saga continues, Democrats are pushing for the impeachment of Trump, which has created a specific market on Kalshi.
Recent Donald Trump News
Since the onset of the Iran conflict, Democrats have expressed dissatisfaction with the United States’ involvement, placing blame on President Donald Trump for drawing the country into an international dispute.
This has led to a variety of ‘No Kings’ rallies with the purpose of raising awareness about Trump’s wrongdoings.
American Journalist Susan Page said in USA Today that the rallies “could reverberate in the 2026 midterms and beyond.”
On Easter via Truth Social, here’s what President Trump posted:
“Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!! Open the F—— Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell – JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah.”
Will Donald Trump Be Impeached? Kalshi Odds
Most recently, President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran.
However, this hasn’t seemed to push the needle in either direction toward impeachment.
On Kalshi, traders are assigning probabilities to the likelihood that Donald Trump will be impeached before the following dates:
Jun 1, 2026 – 2.9%
Jan 1, 2027 – 15%
Jan 1, 2028 – 69%
These percentages are subject to change.
Since the start of the conflict with Iran, the impeachment percentages increased from the original numbers, which were closer to 50%, up to 60-70%.